Will Madagascar hold its post-transition presidential election by the end of 2028?

Will Madagascar hold its post-transition presidential election by the end of 2028?

791d 1h

50% chance

Ends
Dec 31, 2028
Price history

Description

Resolves Yes if Madagascar holds the first round of a nationwide presidential election by December 31, 2028. The transitional authorities have set the vote for October 2027. Resolves No if the election is postponed past the deadline or not held. Resolution source: Madagascar's Independent National Electoral Commission (CENI) and the High Constitutional Court (HCC), confirmed by major wire services.

How it resolves

Resolution process

When the market ends, a 3 days dispute period begins. If no one disputes, rewards are distributed automatically.

Created
Oct 16, 2026
Resolution date
Dec 31, 2028