Will MSCI downgrade Indonesia to Frontier Market status by November 30?

Will MSCI downgrade Indonesia to Frontier Market status by November 30?

29d 9h

9% chance

Volume
$1.6K
Liquidity
$586
Ends
Dec 1, 2026
Price history

Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Morgan Stanley Capital International (MSCI) reclassifies Indonesia as a Frontier Market at any point by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” An official MSCI announcement of reclassification will be sufficient for a ‘Yes’ resolution, even if such reclassification does not go into effect by the date listed above. Announcements that MSCI is considering or exploring reclassification will not be sufficient to resolve the market. The resolution source will be official MSCI communication or a consensus of credible reporting.

How it resolves

Resolution process

When the market ends, a 3 days dispute period begins. If no one disputes, rewards are distributed automatically.

Created
Oct 18, 2026
Resolution date
Dec 1, 2026