Will Norway's oil fund be worth NOK 27 trillion or more at end of Q3 2028?

Will Norway's oil fund be worth NOK 27 trillion or more at end of Q3 2028?

759d 22h

50% chance

Ends
Nov 30, 2028
Price history

Description

Resolves Yes if the market value of the Government Pension Fund Global as of September 30, 2028, as reported in Norges Bank Investment Management's (NBIM) Q3 2028 report, is NOK 27,000 billion or more. Resolves No if it is below that figure. If NBIM has not published the Q3 2028 figure by November 30, 2028, the value shown on nbim.no for September 30, 2028 is used.

How it resolves

Resolution process

When the market ends, a 3 days dispute period begins. If no one disputes, rewards are distributed automatically.

Created
Oct 16, 2026
Resolution date
Nov 30, 2028