Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?

Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?

60d 7h

2% chance

Volume
$938.9K
Liquidity
$17.9K
Ends
Jan 1, 2027
Price history

Description

This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto, the pseudonymous creator or creators of Bitcoin, is definitively proven between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The resolution source for this market will be definitive evidence confirming the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto, such as a transfer from one of the original Satoshi wallets. However, a credible consensus of reporting will also be used.

How it resolves

Resolution process

When the market ends, a 3 days dispute period begins. If no one disputes, rewards are distributed automatically.

Created
Jul 31, 2026
Resolution date
Jan 1, 2027