Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?

60d 12h

2% chance

Volume
$987.4K
Liquidity
$87.9K
Ends
Jan 1, 2027
Price history

Description

If the Doge-1 12U Lunar Cube satellite successfully launches from its launch pad by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the satellite with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.

How it resolves

Resolution process

When the market ends, a 3 days dispute period begins. If no one disputes, rewards are distributed automatically.

Created
Jul 30, 2026
Resolution date
Jan 1, 2027