Will the Falklands' Sea Lion oil field produce first oil by end of 2028?
791d 0h
50% chance
- Ends
- Dec 31, 2028
Price history
Description
Resolves Yes if Navitas Petroleum, Rockhopper Exploration or the Falkland Islands Government announces first oil production from the Sea Lion field development between now and December 31, 2028. Resolves No otherwise. The project reached its final investment decision in December 2025, with first oil targeted for 2028. The resolution sources are company regulatory announcements and Falkland Islands Government statements.
How it resolves
Resolution process
When the market ends, a 3 days dispute period begins. If no one disputes, rewards are distributed automatically.
- Created
- Oct 16, 2026
- Resolution date
- Dec 31, 2028