Will the Social Democratic Alliance win the most seats in Iceland's next election?
791d 1h
50% chance
- Ends
- Dec 31, 2028
Price history
Description
Resolves Yes if the Social Democratic Alliance (Samfylkingin) wins more Althing seats than any other party in Iceland's next parliamentary election (legally due by December 2, 2028), according to final results from Iceland's National Electoral Commission (Landskjörstjórn). A tie for first place resolves No. Resolves No if another party wins the most seats or no election has been held by December 31, 2028.
How it resolves
Resolution process
When the market ends, a 3 days dispute period begins. If no one disputes, rewards are distributed automatically.
- Created
- Oct 16, 2026
- Resolution date
- Dec 31, 2028