Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?
60d 9h
2% chance
- Volume
- $265.9K
- Liquidity
- $31.4K
- Ends
- Jan 1, 2027
Price history
Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Mexican land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Mexico or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
How it resolves
Resolution process
When the market ends, a 3 days dispute period begins. If no one disputes, rewards are distributed automatically.
- Created
- Jul 30, 2026
- Resolution date
- Jan 1, 2027