Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?

Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?

810d 19h

78% chance

Volume
$114.2K
Liquidity
$29.4K
Ends
Jan 20, 2029
Price history

Description

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.

How it resolves

Resolution process

When the market ends, a 3 days dispute period begins. If no one disputes, rewards are distributed automatically.

Created
Oct 19, 2026
Resolution date
Jan 20, 2029