Will Trump pardon anyone by December 31?

Will Trump pardon anyone by December 31?

57d 13h

67% chance

Volume
$5K
Liquidity
$29.9K
Ends
Jan 1, 2027
Price history

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

How it resolves

Resolution process

When the market ends, a 3 days dispute period begins. If no one disputes, rewards are distributed automatically.

Created
Oct 18, 2026
Resolution date
Jan 1, 2027