Will Turkmen gas start flowing to Afghanistan through TAPI by end of 2028?

Will Turkmen gas start flowing to Afghanistan through TAPI by end of 2028?

790d 16h

50% chance

Ends
Dec 31, 2028
Price history

Description

Resolves Yes if, by December 31, 2028, natural gas from Turkmenistan begins regular deliveries into Afghanistan (for example, to Herat) through the TAPI pipeline, as announced by the Government of Turkmenistan, Turkmengaz, Afghan authorities, or major wire services. Construction milestones or test flows without stated delivery to Afghan offtakers do not count. Otherwise resolves No.

How it resolves

Resolution process

When the market ends, a 3 days dispute period begins. If no one disputes, rewards are distributed automatically.

Created
Oct 16, 2026
Resolution date
Dec 31, 2028